Gale Warning
Issued at: 05:00 AM TODAY , 20 June 2018
Gale Warning # 26 (Final)
For: STRONG TO GALE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH the southwest monsoon

Gale Warning in PDF file





Dams Water Level Update
As of 6 AM, 26 SEPTEMBER 2017

General Flood Advisories - Regional
Issued as of 7AM 07 August 2017


Daily Basin Hydrological Forecast
Issued 21 FEBRUARY 2017




Monthly Climate Assessment and Outlook

Issued: 05 June 2017

Monthly Rainfall Forecast
RAINFALL FORECAST  (October 2017 - March 2018) 
UPDATED: 20 September 2017 (next update October 2017)


Regional Rainfall Forecast
Issued: 20 September 2017
Valid for: October 2017 - March 2018
Farm Weather Forecast and Advisories
ISSUED              : 8AM, THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2017
VALID UNTIL      :  8AM, FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 8, 2017
FWFA:  N0. 17-251

Ten-Day Regional Agri-Weather Information
DEKAD NO. 25 SEPTEMBER 1-10, 2017

PHILIPPINE AGRI-WEATHER FORECAST
The weather systems that will affect the whole country are southwest monsoon, intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and low pressure area (LPA).
Seasonal Climate Outlook
Issued:  06 July 2017
FOR July - December 2017
PDF




Astronomical Diary
Issued for June 2018
Summer Solstice on June 21, 2018 at 6:07 PM (Philippine Standard Time).




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Rainfall Forecast  (October 2017 - March 2018) 
updated: 20 September 2017 


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October 2017

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November 2017

MRF (2).JPG

December 2017

MRF (3).JPG

January 2018

MRF (4).JPG

February 2018

MRF (5).JPG


March 2018

MRF (6).JPG

Forecast Rainfall Analysis

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MRF_table (2).JPG
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Probabilistic Rainfall Forecast


PROBABILISTIC RAINFALL FORECAST


Forecasting rainfall or temperature in probabilistic terms is a way of expressing uncertainty in the future weather/climate. When numerical probability values are assigned to the forecast, it is a way of indicating the amount of uncertainty in the forecast. Rather than say "below normal this July", we can say "30% chance to be below normal this July" when we think less rain is not so likely; or we can say "70% chance to be above normal this July " when we think a great amount of rain is likely. Assigning a numerical value – a probability – to the occurrence of rainfall event allows us to quantify the uncertainty.


A probability forecast estimates the likelihood of occurrence of a specific event, which must be fully defined for the forecast to be verifiable. Events are defined by a time period and a specific location.


Probabilities are usually stated either as a percentage, which may range from 0 ("The event will definitely not occur") to 100 ("The event will definitely occur"). Values between 0 and 100 represent the different degrees of uncertainty.



Monthly Probabilistic  Rainfall Forecast: 
updated: 20 September 2017

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    October 2017                  November 2017                   December 2017
 
    January 2018                  February 2018                     March 2018

PUBLIC WARNING 


It has come to the attention of the Office of the Administrator of PAGASA that a certain person has been using the name of Dr. Vicente B. Malano to solicit money from the contractors of PAGASA.

Dr. Malano wishes to inform the public that he has not authorized anyone to solicit money on his behalf and to warn everyone against dealing with unscrupulous activities of certain individuals.




payong pagasa on android The latest version of the official PAGASA app can now be downloaded on Google play store

Weather Division is now  ISO 9001:2008 Certified
Proof has been furnished by means of an audit that the requirements of ISO 9001:2008 are met.

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